JFK Case Study
November 1963 · Harris/Newsweek Survey

JFK Case Study

In November 1963, 57% of Americans approved of President Kennedy. What drove that number — and what could have changed it? Five tools let you explore the data yourself.

Five Ways to Explore the Data

Each tool asks a different question about the November 1963 Harris–Newsweek survey.

All-or-Nothing Simulator

What if every respondent felt the same way about an issue? Move one variable to an extreme and see how much it would have shifted Kennedy’s approval.

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Fine-Tuning Simulator

Instead of extremes, shift the mix gradually — fewer people rating Vietnam as “Poor,” more rating the economy as “Excellent.” Watch how small distributional changes move the approval needle.

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Non-Response Test

Not everyone answers a survey. Could the people who didn’t respond have changed the headline result? Set how many non-respondents to assume and what they would have said.

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Survey Explorer

Browse the raw responses. See how Americans answered each question, which questions moved together, and how one group compared to another.

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Model Builder

Pick survey questions, build a logistic regression model, and see which variables actually predicted approval. Test whether the published model holds up — or whether a different set of questions fits better.

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All tools use the original 1963 Harris/Newsweek survey of 1,283 likely voters

Historical Context: November 1963

Key Events Timeline

November 1

South Vietnamese coup against Diem

November 18

JFK's final public speech in Tampa

November 22

Assassination in Dallas

Civil Rights

Civil Rights Act stalled in Congress

Vietnam

16,000 U.S. military advisors deployed

Cold War

Cuban Missile Crisis aftermath

Economy

5.5% unemployment, 4.4% GDP growth

Louis Harris & Associates surveyed a nationally representative sample of likely voters for Newsweek just before JFK's assassination.

57%
Approval Rating
59%
Would vote for JFK over Goldwater
64%
Favored a personal income tax cut

Survey Topics Covered:

JFK's performance
US/Soviet relations
Space program
Civil rights
Economic policy

Ready to uncover insights?

Explore how JFK's approval rating and other key outcomes might have changed.